Wednesday, December 09, 2020

Alert Reader Kevin H...



...pointed me to this lovely analogy for Never Trumpers who want a cookie and a parade for the minimal assistance they provided us in remove the monster they created.

Meanwhile, over at the Data Analytics Bar & Grill...

The Hottest Campaign Ads on Twitter Didn’t Really Work: Study

Going viral was nice. But it didn’t appear to actually move persuadable voters in swing states.

...
The idea wasn’t to be petty or adversarial towards the Lincoln Project, which drew both fans and detractors for the scorched-earth spots it ran imploring fellow Republicans to abandon Trump. It was, instead, to see if Twitter virality could be used as a substitute for actual ad testing, which took funds and time. If it turned out that what the Lincoln Project was doing was proving persuasive, the thinking went, then Priorities USA could use Twitter as a quasi-barometer for seeing how strong their own ads were.

But that didn’t turn out to be the case. According to Nick Ahamed, Priorities’ analytics director, the correlation of Twitter metrics—likes and retweets—and persuasion was -0.3, “meaning that the better the ad did on Twitter, the less it persuaded battleground state voters.” The most viral of the Lincoln Project’s ads—a spot called Bounty, which was RTed 116,000 times and liked more than 210,000 times—turned out to be the least persuasive of those Priorities tested...

A reminder that the Lincoln Project's metrics for success as articulated by the Lincoln Lads themselves were 1) drive Republican turnout down and, 2) knock off a few easy, low-hanging-and-hanging-by-a-thread Republican candidates like Susan Collins, Joni Ernst, Thom Tillis and Lindsay Graham.  

So what actually happened?

2020 Republican turnout for Trump was up by 11 million votes over 2016.

2020 Republican turnout for Susan Collins was up by 4,000 votes from 2014, which was enough for her to handily defeat her opponent.

2020 Republican turnout for Joni Ernst was up by nearly 300,000 votes from 2014, which was enough for her to score a return ticket to the United States Senate.

2020 Republican turnout for Thom Tillis was up by over 1.2 million votes votes from 2014, which was more than enough for him to knock off his opponent.

And Lindsay Graham?  Graham sailed easily to victory by almost exactly doubling his 2014 vote total.

So does anyone know when exactly was the last time Rick Wilson won, y'know, anything except a couple of book contracts and a recurring role all over cable teevee ?



No Half Measures



7 comments:

Robt said...

I did not see any serious campaigning to pin the warts on the face of republicans.

The failures economically, pandemic failure, promises of borrowed 3 trillion socialism to give to the wealthy who will trickle down so we all become millionaires., their continued lack of any health care system improvements the White supremacy embracing smack down to the inhumane treatment of immigrant children. the encroaching of forcing religion on others but most of all, imposing the elites power controls for them to operate and force Americans to obey, like all them Judges.
Why does a small government need all these judges?????

GOP senators did not have tough opposition. They were not called out on their ignoring needs to suppressing needs of America and Americans. The wealthy got represented and the GOP voters that aren't wealthy got to be white Supremacists out of the closet.
But elected officials are supposed to represent everyone, (even those who did not vote for them). George Soros did not vote for Joni Ernst or Susan Collins but they did make sure George Soros received a permanent tax cut just like Koch Brothers.

Leads to the next question;
Why aren't the GOP base from QANON to the Dung Beetle not upset at the GOP for giving the "evil" George Soros a big fat tax cut that he can use to fund the forced abortion on all GOP males to become gay from contracting COVID 10 and forcing everyone to have an abortion by making your neighborhood church pay for it.

Difficult to understand, how the Midwest/ red spaced rural GOP voters dwell on how smarter they are than them city slicker liberals.
How did the 30 year old Newt and Limbaugh skull scrubbing inserted trigger phrase, "Radical Liberal". Work on these salt of the Earth GOP haters for the election?

I recall JFK's , defining If you mean a labral is ____" speech.
Where JFK defines it and does not leave it up to the right wing leaders to insert their definition into the Arses of their base.

Unknown said...

As previously stated, and better, by others, the Lincoln Project does not exist to sway Republicans to vote Democrat (in 2020). The Lincoln Project exists (and will continue to exist) to sway Democrats to vote Republican in the future.

Robt said...

I don't know about you, but I am emailing my two senators and house Rep. to put me on the Preemptive Presidential pardon list and to personally / verbally put a good word in to the president directly.
You know in case I ever lose my temper or anything with my GOP senators and House Rep in the future.
I actually think there should be a nation wide campaign to ask your senators for one too.

Cheez Whiz said...

The Lincoln Project existed (I give it 4 months tops) to be a safe harbor for Republican media fixers frozen out by Trump. Solicit from the suckers and polish the both-sides cred, win-win.

Anonymous said...

DG said, "Rick Wilson won, y'know, anything except a couple of book contracts and a recurring role all over cable teevee?"

That's all he and the others really wanted. They are all of a type DG has described many times. Like Scarborough and others.

joejimtree said...

I hated the Lincoln Project ad mania, even before I figured out the authors. The awful music, the grandiosity, the voice overs, the vehemence and lack of originality in forming arguments or having a point of view gave me a headache. They never posed an argument, which while true, that a junior high school kid couldn't have come up with at a tedious family dinner, and they were as ugly as they could be, as strategy. When I figured out who was making the ads it all made sense.

Comparing that with the Biden campaign's far more successful approach, of actually having put together a strategy, to keep the hell out of the mud slinging, they look like idiots.

As unattached contributors, they could have had other, genuinely interesting approaches that you'd expect from high end media advertisers. Oh for a dumb example, if they in a different twist from Biden, they stayed above the fray by being surreal and silly and endearing, and gained affection just for distracting us. Or got connected up with some of the people who produce amazing videos for Cardi B, Missy Elliot, or Taylor Swift. Imagine a cool ad with Biden in the Garden of Paradise. Or Trump as Midas in a mind blowing landscape of inedible gold. Shit that entertains people, Super Bowl half time stuff. But they like ugly violence, always have, so it was fun for them to torture Trump in public. Of course he deserves it, but what does that have to do with votes?

Anonymous said...

Please don't take this as a defense of the Lincoln Lads, and sorry-not-sorry if it sounds conspiratorial, but I will wait at least a year for the journalistic and (hopefully) intelligence and congressional investigations to shake out before I start believing how many people voted for Republicans this year and why.